🏈 PrimeTime Picks

Football Is Money | Official TNF Blog Breakdown

🔮 Official FIM Picks for MNF

Dolphins vs Steelers

✅ Official FIM Picks

Steelers -3.5
Over 42
These are the official Football Is Money plays for Monday Night Football.

Why We’re Taking Steelers -3.5

This pick is about trust, stability, and environment.

Pittsburgh is the more dependable team in this spot. They’re at home, playing for division positioning, and led by a veteran quarterback who understands how to manage primetime games. The Steelers don’t need to be flashy — they just need to be efficient and disciplined.

Miami has explosive talent, but their inconsistencies show up most clearly against physical teams and in road environments. When pressured, the Dolphins struggle to stay on schedule, and stalled drives have been a recurring issue.

Pittsburgh’s defense is built to challenge timing-based passing offenses, and offensively they can lean on balance to keep Miami from dictating tempo. Asking the Steelers to win by more than a field goal at home is a reasonable number in this matchup.

⚡ Why We’re Taking Over 42

This total is lower than the offensive potential on both sides.

Miami can score quickly when given space, especially through De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle, while Pittsburgh has shown the ability to capitalize on short fields and convert red-zone opportunities.

Even in a physical game, both teams have paths to points:

Miami through explosive plays
Pittsburgh through sustained drives and efficiency

Turnovers, field position, and red-zone chances all lean toward scoring opportunities rather than long, scoreless stretches. This doesn’t need to be a shootout — steady production from both sides can push this game past 42.

🎯 The Football Is Money Breakdown

This is a classic primetime setup where process matters more than hype.

Home team with urgency
Veteran quarterback in control
Physical defense setting tone
Opponent with volatility

We’re not betting emotion — we’re betting structure and opportunity.

Pittsburgh controls pace, Miami contributes enough offensively, and the game environment supports both the side and the total.

Final Word

Steelers -3.5.
Over 42.

That’s the Football Is Money approach to Monday Night Football — clean, disciplined, and intentional.

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Final: Steelers 28, Dolphins 15

Football isMoney Ticket Result — MNF

Monday Night Football delivered exactly what the matchup suggested.

Steelers -3.5 — CASHED
Over 42 — CASHED

Pittsburgh handled business at home, pulling away in the second half, while Miami’s late touchdowns helped push the total past the number. A balanced offensive performance from the Steelers and fourth-quarter scoring from both sides sealed a clean sweep on the ticket.

Another example of trusting game environment, tempo, and matchup, not just surface-level narratives.

Process over emotion.

Discipline over impulse.

Football is Money.
Pittsburgh took care of business on Monday Night Football, pulling away from Miami in the second half to secure a 28–15 win at home. The Steelers leaned on efficiency, balance, and timely execution, while the Dolphins were forced to play catch-up for most of the night.

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GAME SUMMARY

This game was competitive early but tilted decisively after halftime.

The first half featured conservative play-calling and field position battles, with Pittsburgh holding a slim edge. Once the Steelers came out of the locker room, however, they seized control. Aaron Rodgers orchestrated back-to-back third-quarter touchdown drives, stretching the lead and putting Miami in a difficult spot.

Miami responded late with two fourth-quarter touchdowns, both coming from Tua Tagovailoa to Darren Waller, but missed two-point conversions kept the Dolphins from closing the gap. Pittsburgh answered with a rushing touchdown of its own to put the game out of reach.

From that point on, the Steelers managed the clock and closed the door.

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TOP PERFORMERS

Steelers

Aaron Rodgers: 224 passing yards, 2 TDs, 0 INT — efficient and in control
DK Metcalf: 55 yards and a touchdown, key third-quarter spark
Kenny Gainwell: 80 rushing yards, steady presence in the run game

Dolphins

Darren Waller: 7 receptions, 66 yards, 2 TDs — primary red-zone weapon
Tua Tagovailoa: 253 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT
De’Von Achane: 60 rushing yards, 67 receiving yards — most dynamic Dolphin

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FANTASY TAKEAWAYS

Darren Waller delivered a strong fantasy night, especially in PPR formats.
Aaron Rodgers continues to provide reliable fantasy production through efficiency.
Achane remains Miami’s most versatile offensive weapon despite limited scoring chances.
Steelers RBs split work, keeping individual ceilings modest but floors usable.

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FINAL THOUGHTS

Pittsburgh controlled this game where it mattered most — in the third quarter.

While Miami showed life late, missed conversions and early inefficiency proved costly. The Steelers played disciplined football, protected the ball, and capitalized on scoring opportunities to earn a comfortable primetime win.

Another steady performance from Pittsburgh under the lights.